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Red138
414551.3
402743.0
6334.0
Blue113
1058214.0
353956.1
170838.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151178090100110130140150160138113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points51
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
24Processor points12
28Net points8
52Algae points20
102Total teleop71
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points6
138Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#11
51.33.2
39.642.8
Auto11.8
Teleop35.0
End4.5
blue by 4.8
56.10.5
51.552.0
Auto20.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Second
43.03.2
33.236.4
Auto7.8
Teleop32.6
End2.6
red by 4.6
1708
#19
38.50.9
34.835.7
Auto5.0
Teleop32.0
End1.5
Third
63
#14
34.03.2
30.333.5
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End4.1
red by 20.0
14.00.9
12.913.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned