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Red52
727419.2
902218.9
1051610.2
Blue64
870515.5
37935.6
265617.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549802040801201401605264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
34Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
52Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7274
#51
19.21.6
17.215.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End3.3
blue by 16.4
379
#4
35.62.2
37.034.8
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
Second
9022
#27
18.91.6
20.619.0
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End1.8
red by 1.0
2656
#41
17.93.5
21.618.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End1.0
Third
10.21.6
11.610.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End1.9
blue by 5.3
8705
#24
15.53.5
18.214.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed