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Red104
348414.3
574043.1
11737.4
Blue75
412129.0
1020719.6
217224.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077105015010475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
+17Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +2
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
52Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
12Foul points0
104Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.1
43.443.5
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End7.1
red by 14.2
29.00.7
28.429.1
Auto6.5
Teleop18.6
End3.8
Second
117
#7
37.40.1
33.133.2
Auto5.2
Teleop27.0
End5.2
red by 13.1
2172
#33
24.30.7
19.320.0
Auto4.5
Teleop17.7
End2.1
Third
3484
#44
14.30.1
14.714.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 5.3
19.60.7
20.321.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed