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Red113
414551.3
239938.6
1020814.5
Blue67
1051317.5
70917.3
751525.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1066305015011367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+42Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
18Coral scored#10
63Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
87Total teleop49
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
113Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#11
51.32.0
42.844.8
Auto11.8
Teleop35.0
End4.5
red by 25.5
7515
#36
25.80.5
24.525.0
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End4.0
Second
38.61.3
35.036.3
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End2.9
red by 21.1
17.50.5
18.519.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Third
14.52.0
12.514.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 2.8
709
#31
17.30.3
16.817.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed