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Red72
541313.9
683419.4
260333.3
Blue117
402743.0
976712.8
446732.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7484406010012014072117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+47
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +37
9Coral scored#17
33Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
43Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#8
5L3#4
1L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
72Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#16
33.31.0
31.632.6
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End4.4
blue by 9.7
43.04.7
36.441.1
Auto7.8
Teleop32.6
End2.6
Second
6834
#32
19.41.0
17.818.9
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End2.2
blue by 13.0
4467
#23
32.43.0
27.230.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
Third
5413
#46
13.91.0
12.713.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 1.0
9767
#34
12.84.7
8.212.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned