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Red108
353956.1
426927.5
26418.5
Blue139
69475.6
1058214.0
941521.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8712850100150200108139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+21
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points30
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
79Total teleop90
Reef
8L4#8
3L3#7
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
108Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.11.3
52.053.3
Auto20.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
blue by 19.5
694
#1
75.61.6
70.672.3
Auto20.2
Teleop45.4
End10.0
Second
4269
#28
27.52.0
21.023.0
Auto3.9
Teleop20.1
End3.5
red by 5.9
9415
#15
21.72.5
19.221.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.1
Third
2641
#52
8.52.0
6.68.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 5.6
14.02.5
13.716.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned