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Red55
415017.9
947519.5
398416.7
Blue66
749718.0
499128.6
6334.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549702040801201401605566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
5Coral scored#9
19Coral points31
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
23Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
55Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9475
#13
19.50.6
19.118.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End1.3
blue by 14.5
63
#14
34.02.6
33.530.9
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End4.1
Second
4150
#50
17.90.6
15.915.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End3.6
blue by 10.6
4991
#12
28.62.6
29.026.4
Auto4.0
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Third
3984
#37
16.70.6
19.518.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
blue by 1.3
7497
#18
18.01.7
19.317.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned