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Red109
350426.1
398416.7
260333.3
Blue20
683419.4
217224.3
26418.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90712040608010012014010920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+47Teleop
+45Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
9Coral scored#1
34Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
48Total teleop8
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
44Foul points0
109Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#16
33.32.0
26.624.7
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End4.4
red by 9.0
2172
#33
24.35.5
22.817.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.7
End2.1
Second
3504
#21
26.12.0
26.124.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
red by 6.7
6834
#32
19.45.5
20.314.9
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End2.2
Third
3984
#37
16.72.0
24.022.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
red by 8.2
2641
#52
8.55.5
20.715.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed