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Red77
37935.6
1020814.5
348414.3
Blue80
350426.1
870515.5
460116.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80680501001502007780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points48
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
48Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
77Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#4
35.60.0
34.834.8
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
red by 9.4
3504
#21
26.10.8
25.926.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Second
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 2.0
4601
#29
16.50.6
15.916.5
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End1.6
Third
3484
#44
14.30.0
14.814.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 1.2
8705
#24
15.50.8
14.715.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed