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Red69
683419.4
405014.1
263832.2
Blue43
1020719.6
1051317.5
265617.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717240506080901001106943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +27
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
51Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
69Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#10
32.20.6
30.631.2
Auto7.6
Teleop18.4
End6.2
red by 12.6
19.61.5
21.019.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Second
6834
#32
19.40.6
18.919.4
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End2.2
red by 1.5
2656
#41
17.91.5
18.116.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End1.0
Third
4050
#26
14.10.6
13.514.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.8
End1.2
blue by 3.4
17.51.5
19.017.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed