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Red137
11737.4
414551.3
209521.6
Blue143
45123.4
446732.4
69475.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081506080100120140160180200220137143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+18
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave0
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points30
29Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
21Coral scored#24
74Coral points85
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
92Total teleop109
Reef
9L4#10
9L3#6
3L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#35
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
137Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#11
51.33.0
44.847.8
Auto11.8
Teleop35.0
End4.5
blue by 24.3
694
#1
75.60.7
72.372.9
Auto20.2
Teleop45.4
End10.0
Second
117
#7
37.43.0
33.236.1
Auto5.2
Teleop27.0
End5.2
red by 5.0
4467
#23
32.40.7
30.230.8
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
Third
2095
#45
21.62.1
19.621.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End2.9
blue by 1.7
451
#35
23.41.0
22.423.4
Auto3.1
Teleop19.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed56%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed