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Red126
6334.0
11737.4
170838.5
Blue110
217224.3
446732.4
239938.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12310050150200126110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+4Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +18
18Coral scored#16
64Coral points58
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
98Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
126Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#19
38.50.4
38.138.5
Auto5.0
Teleop32.0
End1.5
blue by 0.1
38.60.4
38.338.6
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End2.9
Second
117
#7
37.40.4
37.037.5
Auto5.2
Teleop27.0
End5.2
red by 5.0
4467
#23
32.40.4
32.132.4
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
Third
63
#14
34.00.4
33.634.0
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End4.1
red by 9.7
2172
#33
24.30.5
23.824.3
Auto4.5
Teleop17.7
End2.1