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Red152
412250.1
414551.3
1051519.5
Blue126
6334.0
11737.4
170838.5
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12912080100140160180200220152126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points3
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
19Coral scored#12
68Coral points44
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
6Processor points18
24Net points20
30Algae points38
98Total teleop82
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#4
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points18
152Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#11
51.31.0
49.850.8
Auto11.8
Teleop35.0
End4.5
red by 12.8
1708
#19
38.50.1
38.538.5
Auto5.0
Teleop32.0
End1.5
Second
50.10.8
49.049.7
Auto14.2
Teleop27.4
End8.5
red by 12.7
117
#7
37.40.1
37.537.4
Auto5.2
Teleop27.0
End5.2
Third
19.51.0
18.019.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.7
blue by 14.5
63
#14
34.00.1
34.034.0
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End4.1