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Red108
574043.1
37935.6
350426.1
Blue55
402743.0
412129.0
26418.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1228620406010014016018010855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave0
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points16
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
52Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points0
108Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.1
43.743.5
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End7.1
red by 0.1
43.00.8
43.742.9
Auto7.8
Teleop32.6
End2.6
Second
379
#4
35.60.1
36.035.9
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
red by 6.6
29.00.8
29.628.8
Auto6.5
Teleop18.6
End3.8
Third
3504
#21
26.10.1
26.726.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
red by 17.7
2641
#52
8.50.8
9.18.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0