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Red97
751525.8
265617.9
499128.6
Blue125
6334.0
11737.4
170838.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791305010015020097125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +25
19Coral scored#22
68Coral points79
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
82Total teleop107
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
97Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#12
28.60.8
27.828.6
Auto4.0
Teleop21.5
End3.0
blue by 9.9
1708
#19
38.50.6
37.337.9
Auto5.0
Teleop32.0
End1.5
Second
7515
#36
25.80.8
25.025.8
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End4.0
blue by 11.6
117
#7
37.40.6
36.236.8
Auto5.2
Teleop27.0
End5.2
Third
2656
#41
17.90.8
17.117.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.8
End1.0
blue by 16.0
63
#14
34.00.6
32.833.4
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End4.1