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Red112
260333.3
426927.5
263832.2
Blue99
402743.0
412129.0
26418.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068620406012014016018011299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+11
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
65Total teleop76
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#7
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
112Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#16
33.30.2
32.833.0
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End4.4
blue by 9.7
43.00.2
42.943.0
Auto7.8
Teleop32.6
End2.6
Second
2638
#10
32.20.2
31.731.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.4
End6.2
red by 3.2
29.00.2
28.829.0
Auto6.5
Teleop18.6
End3.8
Third
4269
#28
27.50.2
27.127.2
Auto3.9
Teleop20.1
End3.5
red by 19.1
2641
#52
8.50.2
8.38.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.0