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Red190
353956.1
69475.6
349230.1
Blue127
217224.3
446732.4
239938.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1778950100150200250190127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+49Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#18
63Coral points63
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
18Processor points6
28Net points12
46Algae points18
109Total teleop81
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#8
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#27
BargeRed +14
24Cage & park10
24Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points6
190Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
75.60.7
73.474.1
Auto20.2
Teleop45.4
End10.0
red by 37.0
38.60.7
37.037.7
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End2.9
Second
56.10.7
53.954.6
Auto20.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 23.7
4467
#23
32.40.7
31.432.1
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End2.3
Third
3492
#22
30.10.9
27.228.0
Auto5.4
Teleop23.2
End1.5
red by 5.8
2172
#33
24.30.9
22.123.0
Auto4.5
Teleop17.7
End2.1