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Red149
412250.1
414551.3
1051519.5
Blue88
574043.1
37935.6
350426.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128116608010014016018020022014988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+61Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave0
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
37Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +41
19Coral scored#10
68Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
92Total teleop51
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#4
5L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +61
6Foul points6
149Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#11
51.30.8
48.349.1
Auto11.8
Teleop35.0
End4.5
red by 8.2
43.10.8
43.542.7
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End7.1
Second
50.10.6
47.948.5
Auto14.2
Teleop27.4
End8.5
red by 14.5
379
#4
35.60.6
35.935.3
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End7.9
Third
19.50.8
16.517.3
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.7
blue by 6.6
3504
#21
26.10.8
26.625.8
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9