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Red137
34157.3
255911.9
253952.5
Blue134
259043.6
42715.8
260747.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130107406080120140160180200137134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
7Coral scored#8
36Coral points40
36Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
71Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#11
5L3#4
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
137Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
57.30.2
57.157.3
Auto10.4
Teleop39.6
End7.3
red by 9.7
47.60.7
46.647.3
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
Second
52.50.2
52.352.5
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
red by 8.9
2590
#10
43.60.7
42.643.2
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
Third
2559
#30
11.90.2
11.711.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 3.8
427
#29
15.80.7
14.815.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0