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Red122
34157.3
255911.9
253952.5
Blue121
259043.6
42715.8
260747.6
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131109406080100120140160180200122121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points22
33Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +10
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#7
12Processor points6
12Net points28
24Algae points34
73Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
122Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
57.30.0
57.357.3
Auto10.4
Teleop39.6
End7.3
red by 9.7
47.60.3
47.347.6
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
Second
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
red by 8.9
2590
#10
43.60.3
43.243.6
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
Third
2559
#30
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 3.8
427
#29
15.80.3
15.415.8
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0