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Red42
540124.9
209513.1
255911.9
Blue68
1065321.6
1058416.3
31634.2
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61732040801004268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+40
Endgame+38
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +33
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points32
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
19Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
12Foul points0
42Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#13
24.92.9
24.821.9
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End0.3
blue by 9.3
316
#18
34.20.5
33.333.8
Auto7.7
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Second
2095
#17
13.12.9
18.916.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 8.4
21.60.5
14.915.4
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.3
Third
2559
#30
11.92.9
12.19.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 4.4
16.30.5
15.415.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed