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Red26
108929.0
680818.1
70910.0
Blue12
42313.7
42715.8
86244.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70782040601001201402612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +19
5Coral scored#1
19Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
23Total teleop4
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
26Total score12

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.04.4
25.621.2
Auto3.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
blue by 15.3
862
#3
44.36.4
34.928.6
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End5.0
Second
18.14.4
16.211.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.5
red by 2.3
427
#29
15.86.4
24.618.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Third
709
#31DQ
10.04.4
23.419.1
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End1.1
blue by 3.7
423
#32
13.76.4
9.93.5
Auto1.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed