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Red59
540718.1
1017010.0
116826.9
Blue114
32138.0
43320.3
253952.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5493020408012014016059114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+41
Fouls+55
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +36
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
20Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points14
59Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1168
#25
26.90.8
28.629.4
Auto6.9
Teleop17.4
End2.6
blue by 25.6
52.52.1
41.543.6
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
Second
5407
#22
18.10.8
11.111.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 19.9
321
#14
38.02.1
27.429.5
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Third
10.00.8
11.712.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.8
blue by 10.3
433
#28
20.32.1
12.414.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned