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Red92
31634.2
568419.2
192348.2
Blue86
259043.6
121836.8
622632.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991008690929496981029286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+20Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
78Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
92Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
48.20.3
34.234.5
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
red by 4.6
2590
#10
43.60.4
32.632.1
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
Second
316
#18
34.20.3
33.033.3
Auto7.7
Teleop25.9
End0.6
blue by 2.5
36.80.4
32.832.3
Auto7.2
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Third
5684
#19
19.20.3
21.922.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.8
blue by 13.4
32.50.4
24.624.1
Auto5.2
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned