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Red104
34157.3
140325.4
21809.8
Blue18
255911.9
428520.4
680818.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10060020408012014016010418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+78Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +67
14Coral scored#1
50Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
72Total teleop5
Reef
8L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
23Game pieces#2
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
104Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
57.31.9
37.339.2
Auto10.4
Teleop39.6
End7.3
red by 36.9
4285
#21
20.44.5
21.016.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End0.6
Second
1403
#26
25.41.9
28.830.7
Auto2.6
Teleop21.4
End1.4
red by 7.4
18.14.5
20.716.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Third
2180
#27
9.81.9
20.822.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
blue by 2.1
2559
#30
11.94.5
16.612.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed