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Red37
540718.1
42715.8
1058416.3
Blue51
1017010.0
108929.0
70838.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70802040601001203751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
3Coral scored#3
12Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
12Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
6Foul points2
37Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5407
#22
18.13.8
14.911.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 20.7
708
#4
38.83.0
26.823.8
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
Second
16.33.8
19.215.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 12.6
29.03.0
28.625.6
Auto3.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Third
427
#29
15.83.8
28.424.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 5.8
10.03.0
14.711.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned