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Red67
518135.4
540124.9
1065321.6
Blue53
31634.2
1017010.0
255911.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80840501001506753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
10Coral scored#7
35Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
45Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points2
67Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#11
35.41.7
27.525.8
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End2.6
red by 1.2
316
#18
34.23.1
36.033.0
Auto7.7
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Second
5401
#13
24.91.7
25.023.3
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End0.3
red by 13.0
2559
#30
11.93.1
19.716.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Third
21.66.1
22.116.1
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.3
red by 11.6
10.04.1
10.614.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed