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Red78
209513.1
260747.6
108929.0
Blue31
42313.7
428520.4
259043.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91964060801207831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+45Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +39
11Coral scored#3
40Coral points11
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
60Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
78Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.3
33.633.3
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
red by 4.1
2590
#10
43.65.9
38.432.6
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
Second
29.00.3
28.928.6
Auto3.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
red by 8.5
4285
#21
20.45.9
26.921.0
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End0.6
Third
2095
#17
13.10.3
18.017.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 0.6
423
#32
13.75.9
18.412.5
Auto1.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed