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Red97
42313.7
1065321.6
192348.2
Blue109
140325.4
86244.3
259043.6
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53105020408012014016097109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
11Coral scored#20
40Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
64Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#5
2L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points0
97Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
48.24.2
34.538.7
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
red by 3.9
862
#3
44.32.1
28.630.6
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End5.0
Second
21.64.2
15.419.6
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.3
blue by 22.0
2590
#10
43.62.1
34.036.0
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
Third
423
#32
13.74.2
3.57.7
Auto1.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 11.7
1403
#26
25.42.1
27.930.0
Auto2.6
Teleop21.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned