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Red48
121836.8
43320.3
223414.6
Blue43
428520.4
32138.0
70910.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72660501001502004843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +1
6Coral scored#6
21Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
27Total teleop26
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
48Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.83.7
29.625.9
Auto7.2
Teleop23.6
End6.0
blue by 1.3
321
#14
38.03.0
29.526.5
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Second
433
#28
20.33.7
14.510.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End3.7
blue by 0.2
4285
#21
20.43.0
13.810.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End0.6
Third
2234
#20
14.63.7
22.518.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End4.6
red by 4.6
709
#31
10.03.0
19.116.1
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed