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Red38
1058416.3
223414.6
42715.8
Blue69
260747.6
21809.8
680818.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538102040601001203869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+31
Endgame+39
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +33
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
12Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
8Foul points0
38Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.32.5
15.913.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 31.3
47.60.3
40.640.3
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
Second
427
#29
15.82.5
17.915.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 2.3
18.10.3
11.911.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Third
2234
#20
14.62.5
18.716.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End4.6
red by 4.8
2180
#27
9.80.3
18.818.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned