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Red98
568419.2
518135.4
32138.0
Blue78
209513.1
192348.2
1017010.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84692040601001201409878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points41
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
56Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
8Foul points2
98Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#14
38.01.6
26.528.0
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
blue by 10.2
1923
#12
48.21.0
38.739.7
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
Second
5181
#11
35.41.6
24.926.5
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End2.6
red by 22.2
2095
#17
13.11.0
15.816.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Third
5684
#19
19.21.6
24.526.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.8
red by 9.2
10.01.0
12.613.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed