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Red115
42313.7
70838.8
622632.5
Blue124
540718.1
86244.3
32138.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607902040100120115124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+19
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points59
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
92Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#6
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
115Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#4
38.84.2
27.031.2
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
blue by 5.5
862
#3
44.33.8
30.634.4
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End5.0
Second
32.54.2
23.327.5
Auto5.2
Teleop25.2
End2.1
blue by 5.5
321
#14
38.03.8
28.031.8
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Third
423
#32
13.74.2
7.711.9
Auto1.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 4.4
5407
#22
18.13.8
11.315.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed