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Red55
21809.8
259043.6
1017010.0
Blue68
209513.1
253952.5
428520.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718540601001201405568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+25
Endgame+15
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +19
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
20Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
8Foul points6
55Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#10
43.62.4
36.734.3
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
blue by 8.9
52.51.8
45.543.7
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
Second
10.02.4
13.611.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.8
blue by 10.5
4285
#21
20.41.8
16.114.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End0.6
Third
2180
#27
9.82.4
18.516.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
blue by 3.3
2095
#17
13.11.8
16.815.0
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed