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Qual 312025 FMA District Hatboro-Horsham Event
Red115
34157.3
42313.7
540124.9
Blue113
255911.9
192348.2
70838.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9389050150200250300115113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
18Coral scored#15
65Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
85Total teleop83
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
115Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
57.32.5
47.1→49.6
Auto10.4
Teleop39.6
End7.3
red by 9.2
1923
#12
48.22.5
39.7→42.2
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
Second
5401
#13
24.92.5
22.6→25.1
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End0.3
blue by 13.9
708
#4
38.82.5
31.2→33.7
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
Third
423
#32
13.72.5
11.9→14.3
Auto1.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
red by 1.7
2559
#30
11.92.5
8.3→10.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned