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Red48
518135.4
116826.9
568419.2
Blue95
121836.8
540718.1
680818.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935402040801001201404895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +31
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
30Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points18
48Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#11
35.43.8
26.522.7
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End2.6
blue by 1.4
36.81.6
26.528.1
Auto7.2
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Second
1168
#25
26.93.8
29.525.7
Auto6.9
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 8.8
5407
#22
18.11.6
15.116.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Third
5684
#19
19.23.8
26.022.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.8
red by 1.1
18.11.6
11.713.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed