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Red51
42715.8
259043.6
568419.2
Blue84
1065321.6
518135.4
540718.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8258020401001201405184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+35
Endgame+35
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +32
7Coral scored#13
25Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
39Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
4Foul points2
51Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#10
43.64.1
34.330.1
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
red by 8.2
5181
#11
35.41.4
22.724.1
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End2.6
Second
5684
#19
19.24.1
22.318.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.8
blue by 2.4
21.61.4
15.316.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.3
Third
427
#29
15.84.1
15.811.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 2.3
5407
#22
18.11.4
16.718.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed