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Red79
253952.5
70910.0
1007019.5
Blue36
680818.1
42313.7
209513.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8541020601001207936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
49Total teleop21
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#7
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
79Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.6
43.744.3
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
red by 34.4
18.10.7
13.312.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Second
19.50.6
19.219.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End3.8
red by 5.8
423
#32
13.70.7
14.313.6
Auto1.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Third
709
#31
10.00.6
10.511.1
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End1.1
blue by 3.1
2095
#17
13.10.7
15.014.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed