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Red33
70910.0
209513.1
540718.1
Blue19
223414.6
568419.2
21809.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505902040801003319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +6
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
20Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
33Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5407
#22
18.11.7
18.116.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 1.1
5684
#19
19.23.8
18.114.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.8
Second
2095
#17
13.11.7
14.212.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 1.5
2234
#20
14.63.8
17.313.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End4.6
Third
709
#31
10.01.7
11.19.4
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End1.1
red by 0.2
2180
#27
9.83.8
15.411.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed