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Red89
192348.2
116826.9
259043.6
Blue110
1007019.5
70838.8
140325.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11182406010012014016089110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#18
31Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
51Total teleop83
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points4
89Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
48.22.1
44.542.3
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
red by 9.4
708
#4
38.83.2
30.834.0
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
Second
2590
#10
43.62.1
30.128.0
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
red by 18.1
1403
#26
25.43.2
24.928.0
Auto2.6
Teleop21.4
End1.4
Third
1168
#25
26.92.1
22.820.7
Auto6.9
Teleop17.4
End2.6
red by 7.4
19.53.2
19.823.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned