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Red52
428520.4
42715.8
70838.8
Blue50
209513.1
1007019.5
1058416.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72530204060801001201401605250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +10
7Coral scored#5
24Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
34Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points6
52Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#4
38.81.0
34.033.0
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
red by 19.2
19.50.7
23.022.3
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Second
4285
#21
20.41.0
18.617.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End0.6
red by 4.1
16.30.7
16.015.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Third
427
#29
15.81.0
9.48.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 2.7
2095
#17
13.10.7
12.511.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed