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Red92
1017010.0
32138.0
260747.6
Blue118
1065321.6
121836.8
253952.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901002040608012014016092118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+18
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
67Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points8
92Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.61.1
42.343.4
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
blue by 4.9
52.51.9
43.845.7
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
Second
321
#14
38.01.1
29.931.0
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
red by 1.3
36.81.9
28.830.7
Auto7.2
Teleop23.6
End6.0
Third
10.01.1
8.59.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.8
blue by 11.6
21.61.9
17.819.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned