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Red88
116826.9
42313.7
140325.4
Blue106
192348.2
540718.1
108929.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions689402040608012014088106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
72Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points2
88Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1168
#25
26.91.5
20.722.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.4
End2.6
blue by 21.2
1923
#12
48.21.7
42.344.1
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
Second
1403
#26
25.41.5
28.029.5
Auto2.6
Teleop21.4
End1.4
blue by 3.6
29.01.7
21.323.1
Auto3.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Third
423
#32
13.71.5
12.614.0
Auto1.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 4.4
5407
#22
18.11.7
16.418.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed