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Red161
260747.6
540124.9
121836.8
Blue64
1017010.0
1065321.6
1007019.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11447010015016164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+83Teleop
+73Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +79
18Coral scored#6
63Coral points22
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
24Processor points6
28Net points8
52Algae points14
115Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
24Foul points0
161Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.61.9
43.445.3
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
red by 26.1
21.60.6
19.720.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.3
Second
36.81.9
30.732.6
Auto7.2
Teleop23.6
End6.0
red by 17.2
19.50.6
22.322.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Third
5401
#13
24.91.9
24.226.1
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End0.3
red by 14.9
10.00.6
9.610.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned