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Red111
34157.3
1058416.3
32138.0
Blue34
140325.4
568419.2
43320.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909040608010012014011134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+57Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +37
8Coral scored#4
30Coral points13
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
54Total teleop17
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
20Foul points0
111Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
57.31.4
35.937.3
Auto10.4
Teleop39.6
End7.3
red by 31.9
1403
#26
25.45.0
33.828.8
Auto2.6
Teleop21.4
End1.4
Second
321
#14
38.01.4
24.826.2
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
red by 17.7
433
#28
20.35.0
18.513.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End3.7
Third
16.34.7
23.919.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 2.8
5684
#19
19.25.0
26.921.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed