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Red111
223414.6
540124.9
70838.8
Blue36
540718.1
1007019.5
42313.7
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79530204010012014016011136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+37Teleop
+57Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
8Coral scored#5
29Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#0
6Processor points6
20Net points0
26Algae points6
55Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
18Foul points0
111Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#4
38.81.5
25.326.8
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
red by 19.2
19.52.7
19.416.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Second
5401
#13
24.91.5
23.324.8
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End0.3
red by 6.8
5407
#22
18.12.7
17.614.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Third
2234
#20
14.61.5
19.220.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End4.6
red by 0.9
423
#32
13.72.7
12.59.9
Auto1.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed