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Red128
192348.2
253952.5
86244.3
Blue112
70910.0
260747.6
518135.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12484204060100140160180128112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
19Coral scored#18
68Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
88Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#4
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points0
128Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.9
40.641.5
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
red by 4.9
47.63.0
33.336.3
Auto7.5
Teleop36.3
End3.8
Second
1923
#12
48.20.9
33.334.2
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
red by 12.8
5181
#11
35.43.0
25.828.9
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End2.6
Third
862
#3
44.30.9
34.034.9
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End5.0
red by 34.2
709
#31
10.03.0
20.423.4
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned