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Red55
255911.9
140325.4
42715.8
Blue118
568419.2
70838.8
253952.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51111010015055118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+37
Endgame+61
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
44Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points2
55Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#26
25.40.1
29.529.6
Auto2.6
Teleop21.4
End1.4
blue by 27.1
52.51.9
45.747.6
Auto10.7
Teleop32.3
End9.5
Second
427
#29
15.80.1
8.58.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 23.0
708
#4
38.81.9
33.034.9
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End6.5
Third
2559
#30
11.90.1
16.016.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 7.2
5684
#19
19.21.9
15.417.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned