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Red135
32138.0
108929.0
86244.3
Blue27
21809.8
209513.1
31634.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10753015013527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+96Teleop
+106Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +78
14Coral scored#2
51Coral points7
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
18Processor points0
20Net points4
38Algae points4
89Total teleop11
Reef
9L4#1
3L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
27Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
2Foul points0
135Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#3
44.33.4
40.644.0
Auto9.7
Teleop29.6
End5.0
red by 10.1
316
#18
34.22.6
33.931.3
Auto7.7
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Second
321
#14
38.03.4
31.034.4
Auto12.7
Teleop22.4
End2.9
red by 24.9
2095
#17
13.12.6
11.89.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Third
29.03.4
23.126.5
Auto3.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
red by 19.2
2180
#27
9.82.6
10.68.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed