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Red105
518135.4
192348.2
43320.3
Blue129
259043.6
34157.3
540718.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96116406080140160180105129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
Endgame+26
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
81Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#10
7L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points0
105Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
48.21.3
44.145.4
Auto12.6
Teleop34.2
End1.5
blue by 9.2
341
#2
57.32.7
49.752.4
Auto10.4
Teleop39.6
End7.3
Second
5181
#11
35.41.3
28.029.3
Auto5.2
Teleop27.6
End2.6
blue by 8.2
2590
#10
43.62.7
30.533.3
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End7.0
Third
433
#28
20.31.3
16.417.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End3.7
red by 2.2
5407
#22
18.12.7
18.120.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned